Will Donald Trump say “Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration” at 14 of 29 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (48%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=29, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 7 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration
- Probability
- 39% · n=29
- Settled
- 14/29 (48%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…It was the worst agreement and the most dangerous agreement I've ever seen. And we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer and
…nuclear weapon for Iran. I terminated luckily just in time. And we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer and Operation Epic Fury.…
…to a nuclear weapon for Iran. It was a horrible deal. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer. You remember that? Late…
…to a the number one state sponsor of terror Iran so we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with operation midnight hammer and operation epic fuel…
…Iran. I terminated that was a road to a nuclear weapon. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer, a beautiful operation, and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 30 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration” at 14 of 29 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (48%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=29). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/obliterate-or-obliterated-or-obliteration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=obliterate%20%2F%20obliterated%20%2F%20obliteration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP