Will Donald Trump say “Marco / Rubio”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Marco / Rubio” at 10 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (37%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=27, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 0 times.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Marco / Rubio
- Probability
- 28% · n=27
- Settled
- 10/27 (37%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…pressure they've ever been under. It's an absolutely failed state. It's failing like never before, and it will fall. Marco Rubio is handling a negotiation.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 28 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Marco / Rubio |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| May 5, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 1, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Marco / Rubio |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Marco / Rubio | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Marco / Rubio | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Marco / Rubio | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Marco/Rubio | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Marco / Rubio”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Marco / Rubio” at 10 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (37%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Marco / Rubio” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=27). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Marco / Rubio’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/marco-or-rubio (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=marco%20%2F%20rubio · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP