Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 27, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during and right after the Cabinet Meeting at 11am EST?
Polymarket What will Trump say during Starmer presser February 27?
Markets
44 words · 22 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon/Musk | Yes | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| JD/Vance | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Doug/Burgum | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gold Card | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Howard/Lutnick | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kristi/Noem | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lee/Zeldin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marco/Rubio | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pam/Bondi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scott/Bessent | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scott/Turner | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mineral | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zelensky 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gaza | Yes | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Pete/Hegseth | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Beautiful 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Germany | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff 5+ times | Yes | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 29%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Elon | No | 59%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 5+ times | No | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gold | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drone | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Million 15+ times | No | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Brooke/Rollins | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Collins | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Denise/Carter | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Duffy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Susie/Wiles | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tulsi/Gabbard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vince/Micone | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wright | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pay 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pond | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UK / United Kingdom 15+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| US / United States 15+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kennedy / RFK | No | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bongino | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Egg | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Climate | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 14%n=61 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDJTCONF-25FEB27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP