MrBeast
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 981 word markets on MrBeast since 2025, on 187 different words; most reliably said: “Time” (17 of 17). Next: Episode, by Oct 24, 2026 (11 words listed).
| Word | Jul 11episode | Jul 18episode | Aug 8episode | Aug 15episode | Aug 22episode | Aug 29episode | Sep 5episode | Sep 12episode | Sep 26episode | Oct 10latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minecraft | Not listed: Minecraft, Jul 11 episode | Settled no: Minecraft, Jul 18 episode | Not listed: Minecraft, Aug 8 episode | Settled no: Minecraft, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Minecraft, Aug 22 episode | 22 times: Minecraft, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Minecraft, Sep 5 episode | Settled yes: Minecraft, Sep 12 episode | Settled yes: Minecraft, Sep 26 episode | Settled yes: Minecraft, Oct 10 episode | 4/667% | 6/875% | 61%n=8 from settlement history | 51¢ Polymarket |
| Hide / Find | Not listed: Hide / Find, Jul 11 episode | Not listed: Hide / Find, Jul 18 episode | Not listed: Hide / Find, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Hide / Find, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Hide / Find, Aug 22 episode | 0 times: Hide / Find, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Hide / Find, Sep 5 episode | Settled yes: Hide / Find, Sep 12 episode | Settled yes: Hide / Find, Sep 26 episode | Settled yes: Hide / Find, Oct 10 episode | 3/475% | 3/475% | 53%n=4 from settlement history | 50¢ Polymarket |
| Build | Not listed: Build, Jul 11 episode | Settled no: Build, Jul 18 episode | Not listed: Build, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Build, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Build, Aug 22 episode | 10 times: Build, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Build, Sep 5 episode | Settled yes: Build, Sep 12 episode | Settled yes: Build, Sep 26 episode | Settled no: Build, Oct 10 episode | 3/560% | 5/862% | 52%n=8 from settlement history | 50¢ Polymarket |
| Feastable / Feastables | Settled no: Feastable / Feastables, Jul 11 episode | Not listed: Feastable / Feastables, Jul 18 episode | Settled yes: Feastable / Feastables, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: Feastable / Feastables, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Feastable / Feastables, Aug 22 episode | 0 times: Feastable / Feastables, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Feastable / Feastables, Sep 5 episode | Settled no: Feastable / Feastables, Sep 12 episode | Settled no: Feastable / Feastables, Sep 26 episode | Settled yes: Feastable / Feastables, Oct 10 episode | 3/933% | 17/4141% | 39%n=40 from settlement history | 50¢ Polymarket |
| Fight | Not listed: Fight, Jul 11 episode | Settled no: Fight, Jul 18 episode | Not listed: Fight, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Fight, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Fight, Aug 22 episode | 2 times: Fight, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Fight, Sep 5 episode | Settled yes: Fight, Sep 12 episode | Settled no: Fight, Sep 26 episode | Settled no: Fight, Oct 10 episode | 2/540% | 3/743% | 39%n=7 from settlement history | 50¢ Polymarket |
| Prize | Settled no: Prize, Jul 11 episode | Not listed: Prize, Jul 18 episode | Settled yes: Prize, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Prize, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Prize, Aug 22 episode | 0 times: Prize, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Prize, Sep 5 episode | Settled no: Prize, Sep 12 episode | Settled no: Prize, Sep 26 episode | Settled yes: Prize, Oct 10 episode | 2/825% | 13/3339% | 36%n=33 from settlement history | 50¢ Polymarket |
| Dream | Not listed: Dream, Jul 11 episode | Settled no: Dream, Jul 18 episode | Not listed: Dream, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Dream, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Dream, Aug 22 episode | 0 times: Dream, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Dream, Sep 5 episode | Settled no: Dream, Sep 12 episode | Settled yes: Dream, Sep 26 episode | Settled no: Dream, Oct 10 episode | 1/520% | 3/838% | 36%n=8 from settlement history | 37¢ Polymarket |
| Chandler | Settled no: Chandler, Jul 11 episode | Settled no: Chandler, Jul 18 episode | Settled no: Chandler, Aug 8 episode | Settled no: Chandler, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Chandler, Aug 22 episode | 0 times: Chandler, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Chandler, Sep 5 episode | Settled no: Chandler, Sep 12 episode | Settled no: Chandler, Sep 26 episode | Settled no: Chandler, Oct 10 episode | 0/100% | 6/2425% | 25%n=24 from settlement history | 50¢ Polymarket |
| GTA / Grand Theft Autonever said | Not listed: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Jul 11 episode | Not listed: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Jul 18 episode | Not listed: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Aug 22 episode | 0 times: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Sep 5 episode | Settled no: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Sep 12 episode | Settled no: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Sep 26 episode | Settled no: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Oct 10 episode | 0/40% | 0/50% | 12%n=5 from settlement history | 36¢ Polymarket |
| Racenever said | Not listed: Race, Jul 11 episode | Settled no: Race, Jul 18 episode | Not listed: Race, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Race, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Race, Aug 22 episode | 0 times: Race, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Race, Sep 5 episode | Settled no: Race, Sep 12 episode | Settled no: Race, Sep 26 episode | Settled no: Race, Oct 10 episode | 0/50% | 0/80% | 9%n=8 from settlement history | 50¢ Polymarket |
| Karlnever said | Settled no: Karl, Jul 11 episode | Settled no: Karl, Jul 18 episode | Settled no: Karl, Aug 8 episode | Settled no: Karl, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Karl, Aug 22 episode | 0 times: Karl, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Karl, Sep 5 episode | Settled no: Karl, Sep 12 episode | Settled no: Karl, Sep 26 episode | Settled no: Karl, Oct 10 episode | 0/100% | 0/190% | 4%n=18 from settlement history | 26¢ Polymarket |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Every word
1–40 of 195, most settled first · page 1 of 3| Word | Aug 15episode | Aug 22episode | Aug 29episode | Sep 5episode | Sep 12episode | Sep 19episode | Sep 26episode | Oct 3episode | Oct 10episode | Oct 17latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | Not listed: Contestant, Aug 15 episode | 1 time: Contestant, Aug 22 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Contestant, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Contestant, Sep 5 episode | Settled no: Contestant, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Contestant, Sep 19 episode | Settled no: Contestant, Sep 26 episode | 3 times: Contestant, Oct 3 episode, counts as said | Settled no: Contestant, Oct 10 episode | 0 times: Contestant, Oct 17 episode | 2/922% | 17/3549% | 38%n=35 from settlement history |
| Insane | Not listed: Insane, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Insane, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Insane, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Insane, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Insane, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Insane, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Insane, Sep 26 episode | 1 time: Insane, Oct 3 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Insane, Oct 10 episode | 0 times: Insane, Oct 17 episode | 1/520% | 8/3027% | 27%n=30 from settlement history |
| Million | Not listed: Million, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Million, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Million, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Million, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Million, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Million, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Million, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Million, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Million, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Million, Oct 17 episode | – | 22/2781% | 76%n=27 from settlement history |
| Subscribe / Subscribes | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribes, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribes, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribes, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribes, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribes, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Subscribe / Subscribes, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribes, Sep 26 episode | 0 times: Subscribe / Subscribes, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribes, Oct 10 episode | 0 times: Subscribe / Subscribes, Oct 17 episode | 0/30% | 12/2646% | 41%n=26 from settlement history |
| Beast | Not listed: Beast, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Beast, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Beast, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Beast, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Beast, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Beast, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Beast, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Beast, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Beast, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Beast, Oct 17 episode | – | 10/2540% | 40%n=25 from settlement history |
| Challenge | Not listed: Challenge, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Challenge, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Challenge, Aug 29 episode | Settled yes: Challenge, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Challenge, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Challenge, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Challenge, Sep 26 episode | 4 times: Challenge, Oct 3 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Challenge, Oct 10 episode | 15 times: Challenge, Oct 17 episode, counts as said | 3/475% | 19/2479% | 64%n=24 from settlement history |
| Money | Not listed: Money, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Money, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Money, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Money, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Money, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Money, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Money, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Money, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Money, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Money, Oct 17 episode | – | 13/2162% | 46%n=21 from settlement history |
| Timeevery time | Not listed: Time, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Time, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Time, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Time, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Time, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Time, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Time, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Time, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Time, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Time, Oct 17 episode | – | 17/17100% | 76%n=17 from settlement history |
| Billion | Not listed: Billion, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Billion, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Billion, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Billion, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Billion, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Billion, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Billion, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Billion, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Billion, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Billion, Oct 17 episode | – | 5/1729% | 32%n=17 from settlement history |
| Water | Not listed: Water, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Water, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Water, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Water, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Water, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Water, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Water, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Water, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Water, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Water, Oct 17 episode | – | 8/1650% | 48%n=16 from settlement history |
| Win | Not listed: Win, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Win, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Win, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Win, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Win, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Win, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Win, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Win, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Win, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Win, Oct 17 episode | – | 12/1580% | 72%n=15 from settlement history |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million10+ times | Not listed: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Aug 15 episode | 2 times: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Aug 22 episode, below the threshold (our count 2 (needs 10) · the market settled yes) | Not listed: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Sep 12 episode | 22 times: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Sep 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Sep 26 episode | 52 times: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Oct 3 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Oct 10 episode | 34 times: Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times, Oct 17 episode, counts as said | 3/475% | 11/1573% | 65%n=15 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 26 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 10 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 17 episode | 0/40% | 1/157% | 10%n=15 from settlement history |
| Survive | Not listed: Survive, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Survive, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Survive, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Survive, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Survive, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Survive, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Survive, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Survive, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Survive, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Survive, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 5/1436% | 29%n=14 from settlement history |
| Island | Settled no: Island, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Island, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Island, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Island, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Island, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Island, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Island, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Island, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Island, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Island, Oct 17 episode | 0/30% | 3/1421% | 22%n=14 from settlement history |
| Sponsor / Sponsored | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored, Sep 26 episode | 0 times: Sponsor / Sponsored, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored, Oct 10 episode | 0 times: Sponsor / Sponsored, Oct 17 episode | 0/20% | 1/147% | 19%n=14 from settlement history |
| Charitynever said | Not listed: Charity, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Charity, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Charity, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Charity, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Charity, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Charity, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Charity, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Charity, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Charity, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Charity, Oct 17 episode | – | 0/130% | 8%n=13 from settlement history |
| Dollar10+ times | Not listed: Dollar 10+ times, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Dollar 10+ times, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Dollar 10+ times, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Dollar 10+ times, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Dollar 10+ times, Sep 12 episode | 1 time: Dollar 10+ times, Sep 19 episode, below the threshold | Not listed: Dollar 10+ times, Sep 26 episode | 5 times: Dollar 10+ times, Oct 3 episode, below the threshold (our count 5 (needs 10) · the market settled yes) | Not listed: Dollar 10+ times, Oct 10 episode | 14 times: Dollar 10+ times, Oct 17 episode, counts as said | 1/425% | 5/1242% | 40%n=12 from settlement history |
| Speed | Not listed: Speed, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Speed, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Speed, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Speed, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Speed, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Speed, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Speed, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Speed, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Speed, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Speed, Oct 17 episode | – | 6/1060% | 55%n=10 from settlement history |
| Subscribe / Subscribed | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribed, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Subscribe / Subscribed, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribed, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Subscribe / Subscribed, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribed, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribed, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribed, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribed, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribed, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Subscribe / Subscribed, Oct 17 episode | 0/20% | 4/1040% | 27%n=10 from settlement history |
| Chocolate | Not listed: Chocolate, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Chocolate, Oct 17 episode | – | 3/1030% | 32%n=10 from settlement history |
| Camera | Not listed: Camera, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Camera, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Camera, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Camera, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Camera, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Camera, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Camera, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Camera, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Camera, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Camera, Oct 17 episode | – | 3/933% | 36%n=9 from settlement history |
| Elimination | Not listed: Elimination, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Elimination, Oct 17 episode | – | 2/922% | 28%n=9 from settlement history |
| Pokemonnever said | Not listed: Pokemon, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Pokemon, Oct 17 episode | – | 0/90% | 11%n=9 from settlement history |
| Dollar5+ times | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Aug 15 episode | 2 times: Dollar 5+ times, Aug 22 episode, below the threshold (our count 2 (needs 5) · the market settled yes) | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Dollar 5+ times, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 7/888% | 70%n=8 from settlement history |
| Car | Settled yes: Car, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Car, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Car, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Car, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Car, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Car, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Car, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Car, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Car, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Car, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 5/862% | 50%n=8 from settlement history |
| Twitch | Not listed: Twitch, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Twitch, Oct 17 episode | – | 2/825% | 30%n=8 from settlement history |
| Saudi Arabianever said | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Saudi Arabia, Oct 17 episode | – | 0/80% | 13%n=8 from settlement history |
| Survivornever said | Not listed: Survivor, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Survivor, Oct 17 episode | – | 0/80% | 13%n=8 from settlement history |
| Apple | Not listed: Apple, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Apple, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Apple, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Apple, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Apple, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Apple, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Apple, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Apple, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Apple, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Apple, Oct 17 episode | – | 2/729% | 30%n=7 from settlement history |
| Red Line | Not listed: Red Line, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Red Line, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Red Line, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Red Line, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Red Line, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Red Line, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Red Line, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Red Line, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Red Line, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Red Line, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 2/729% | 30%n=7 from settlement history |
| Lamborghini | Not listed: Lamborghini, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Lamborghini, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Lamborghini, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Lamborghini, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Lamborghini, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Lamborghini, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Lamborghini, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Lamborghini, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Lamborghini, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Lamborghini, Oct 17 episode | 0/30% | 1/714% | 20%n=7 from settlement history |
| Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Aug 15 episode | 0 times: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Aug 22 episode (our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes) | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Aug 29 episode | Settled no: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring, Oct 17 episode | 0/20% | 1/714% | 20%n=7 from settlement history |
| Eliminate / Eliminated | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Eliminate / Eliminated, Oct 17 episode | – | 3/650% | 42%n=6 from settlement history |
| Week | Not listed: Week, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Week, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Week, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Week, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Week, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Week, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Week, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Week, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Week, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Week, Oct 17 episode | – | 2/633% | 37%n=6 from settlement history |
| Darius | Not listed: Darius, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Darius, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Darius, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Darius, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Darius, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Darius, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Darius, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Darius, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Darius, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Darius, Oct 17 episode | – | 1/617% | 22%n=6 from settlement history |
| Mario / Galaxy | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Mario / Galaxy, Oct 17 episode | – | 1/617% | 26%n=6 from settlement history |
| Americanever said | Not listed: America, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: America, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: America, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: America, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: America, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: America, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: America, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: America, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: America, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: America, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/60% | 11%n=6 from settlement history |
| Africa | Not listed: Africa, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Africa, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Africa, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Africa, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Africa, Sep 12 episode | 1 time: Africa, Sep 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Africa, Sep 26 episode | 0 times: Africa, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Africa, Oct 10 episode | 0 times: Africa, Oct 17 episode | 1/333% | 1/520% | 25%n=5 from settlement history |
| Tesla / Lamborghini | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Aug 15 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Sep 5 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Sep 26 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Oct 3 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Oct 10 episode | Not listed: Tesla / Lamborghini, Oct 17 episode | – | 1/520% | 25%n=5 from settlement history |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 64 of 69 settled words resolved (92.8%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? | Captions · machine-attributed | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Oct 10, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video? | no transcript | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | – |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? | Captions · machine-attributed | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | 11/12 (92%) |
| Sep 26, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video? | no transcript | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | – |
| Sep 19, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? | Captions · machine-attributed | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Sep 12, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video? | no transcript | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | – |
| Sep 5, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? | Captions · machine-attributed | 16 | 3 yes · 13 no | – |
| Aug 29, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video? | Captions · machine-attributed | 13 | 3 yes · 10 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Aug 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? | Captions · machine-attributed | 20 | 5 yes · 15 no | 16/20 (80%) |
| Aug 15, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video? | no transcript | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | – |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next Youtube Video? | no transcript | 31 | 12 yes · 19 no | – |
| Jul 18, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video? | no transcript | 20 | 0 yes · 20 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “MrBeast: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/mrbeast · words: /api/v1/history?entity=mrbeast · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP