Will “Dollar” be said 10+ times on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Dollar” was said 10+ times on MrBeast at 5 of 12 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (42%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 1 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Dollar 10+ times
- Probability
- 40% · n=12
- Settled
- 5/12 (42%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
14 counted; 9 by speakers the rule does not count.
…this couple can lose 150 pounds before their WEDDING day, they win $250,000. Whaaat the HECK?! And their wedding will be the first time ANYONE…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
…being reminded what they were working towards, they had a renewed sense of determination. $25,000 is a LOT of money, anddd I wanna win that.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 11 by speakers the rule does not count.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 14 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 5 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | No | 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 17, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Dollar 10+ | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Dollar 10+ times” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Dollar” was said 10+ times on MrBeast at 5 of 12 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (42%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026.
- What is the probability “Dollar 10+ times” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Dollar 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/dollar-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=dollar%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP