MrBeast: Episode, Sep 12, 2026
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video?
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Build | Yes | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Minecraft | Yes | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fight | Yes | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hide / Find | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Contestant | No | 46%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 37%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | No | 37%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Dream | No | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 28%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Chameleon | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| GTA / Grand Theft Auto | No | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Race | No | 12%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 5%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-gaming-youtube-video-20260912 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP