Will “Dollar” be said 5+ times on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Dollar” was said 5+ times on MrBeast at 7 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 10, 2026 (88%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 2 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 7/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Dollar 5+ times
- Probability
- 69% · n=8
- Settled
- 7/8 (88%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dollar 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dollar 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Dollar 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Dollar 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Dollar 5+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 2, 2026 | Dollar 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dollar 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Dollar 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Dollar 5+ times” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Dollar” was said 5+ times on MrBeast at 7 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 10, 2026 (88%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “Dollar 5+ times” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Dollar 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/dollar-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=dollar%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP