Will “Contestant” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Contestant” was said on MrBeast at 17 of 35 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 10, 2025 (49%), most recently on Oct 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=35, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Contestant
- Probability
- 38% · n=35
- Settled
- 17/35 (49%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…it right away. And it's in that same spirit that I wanted to do something different, not only for our contestants, but for all of
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
But for one contestant, he might've pushed too hard. Even with his newfound injury, Juan was determined to not let his ankle weigh him or…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
Every settled listing
newest first · 37 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Contestant |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Contestant |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 16, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 9, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Contestant | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Contestant | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Contestant” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Contestant” was said on MrBeast at 17 of 35 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 10, 2025 (49%), most recently on Oct 3, 2026.
- What is the probability “Contestant” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=35). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Contestant’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/contestant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=contestant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP