Will “Red Line” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red Line” was said on MrBeast at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 17, 2026 (29%), most recently on Aug 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Red Line
- Probability
- 29% · n=7
- Settled
- 2/7 (29%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Red Line |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Red Line | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Red Line | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Red Line | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Red Line | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Red Line | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 17, 2026 | Red Line | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Red Line” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red Line” was said on MrBeast at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 17, 2026 (29%), most recently on Aug 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Red Line” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Red Line’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/red-line (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=red%20line · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP