Will “Million” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Million” was said on MrBeast at 22 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 10, 2025 (81%), most recently on Aug 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 76% (n=27, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Million
- Probability
- 76% · n=27
- Settled
- 22/27 (81%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 4 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 27 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Million |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 30, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | No |
| May 16, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | No |
| May 9, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Million |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Million | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Million” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Million” was said on MrBeast at 22 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 10, 2025 (81%), most recently on Aug 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Million” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 76%, from settlement history (n=27). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Million’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/million (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=million · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP