MrBeast (YouTube), August 22, 2026
On the Aug 22, 2026 episode of MrBeast, 5 of the 20 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 16 of 20 settlements. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
UpdatedMarkets
20 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 20- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar 5+ times | Yes | 2 | 7 | ✗ | 62%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 2 | 19 | ✗ | 52%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 50%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Time 5+ times | Yes | 0 | 7 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring | Yes | 0 | 1 | ✗ | 14%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe / Subscribed | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Feastables | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 32%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery Store | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Market / Supermarket | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sleep / Sleeping | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wedding / Married | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Island | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Lamborghini | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Red Line | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Wife | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 8%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · MrBeast (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mrbeast:2026-08-22:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mrbeast:2026-08-22:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP