MrBeast: Episode, Aug 15, 2026
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Car | Yes | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | Yes | 31%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Win / Winner | Yes | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Minecraft | No | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 38%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Married / Wedding | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Island | No | 27%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Sword | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wife | No | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Roblox | No | 16%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Fortnite | No | 14%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 8%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-gaming-youtube-video-20260812160134199 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP