What is the probability “Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring” is said on MrBeast next time?

20%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring” be said on MrBeast next time?

Name: MrBeast: “Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring” was said on MrBeast at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 17, 2026 (14%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

20%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 04:48 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

MrBeast

Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring

Probability: 20% · n=7
Settled: 1/7 (14%)
Last 6 episodes: said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

sponsor ad readotherMrBeast (YouTube), August 22, 2026 · Aug 22, 2026 · 8:05In transcript

win a 2v2 in CoD Mobile, the sponsor of this video, WHICH if you do, you will unlock some VERYY special stuff that will make…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? · not listed

Open the appearance