Will “Prize” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Prize” was said on MrBeast at 13 of 33 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 10, 2025 (39%), most recently on Oct 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=33, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 50¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Prize
- Probability
- 36% · n=33
- Settled
- 13/33 (39%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 34 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Prize |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 17, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Prize |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Prize | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Prize | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Prize | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Prize | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Prize | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Prize | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Prize | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Prize | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Prize | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Prize | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Prize” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Prize” was said on MrBeast at 13 of 33 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 10, 2025 (39%), most recently on Oct 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Prize” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=33). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Prize’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/prize (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=prize · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP