MrBeast: Episode, Jul 18, 2026
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video?
Markets
20 words · 0 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best | No | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Minecraft | No | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | No | 53%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Build | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Dream | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 43%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | No | 43%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Farm | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fight | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Lose / Loser | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Win / Winner | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Chocolate | No | 35%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Island | No | 30%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Sword | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Darius | No | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trap | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Roblox | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fortnite | No | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Race | No | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 10%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-gaming-youtube-video-20260713152829391 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP