Will “Karl” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Karl” was not said on MrBeast at any of the 19 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 4% (n=19, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
4%from settlement history only · n=19Next: Episode, Oct 24, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 26¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Karl
- Probability
- 4% · n=19
- Settled
- 0/19 (0%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 19 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Karl |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 17, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Karl | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Karl” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Karl” was not said on MrBeast at any of the 19 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “Karl” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 4%, from settlement history (n=19). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Karl’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/karl (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=karl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP