MrBeast (YouTube), September 5, 2026
On the Sep 5, 2026 episode of MrBeast, 3 of the 16 words Polymarket listed were said. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Challenge | Yes | 60%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Arctic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gemini / AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Contestant | No | 55%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 38%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | No | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | No | 34%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 33%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe / Subscribed | No | 33%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Survive | No | 32%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | No | 28%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Lamborghini | No | 24%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring | No | 24%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Island | No | 24%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Eliminated | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Karl | No | 6%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · MrBeast (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mrbeast:2026-09-05:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mrbeast:2026-09-05:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP