MrBeast (YouTube), October 31, 2026
On the Oct 31, 2026 episode of MrBeast, 4 of the 13 words Polymarket listed were said.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Build | Yes | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Minecraft | Yes | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Hide / Find | Yes | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dream | Yes | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Fight | No | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | No | 44%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | No | 36%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 36%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 27%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Chameleon | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| GTA / Grand Theft Auto | No | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Race | No | 11%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 4%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. Scheduled for Sat, Oct 31. Results will show how the venues settle the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mrbeast:2026-10-31:podcast_episode-gaming · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mrbeast:2026-10-31:podcast_episode-gaming · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP