Will “Mario / Galaxy” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Mario / Galaxy” was said on MrBeast at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 21, 2026 (17%), most recently on Apr 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Mario / Galaxy
- Probability
- 27% · n=6
- Settled
- 1/6 (17%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Mario / Galaxy |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mario / Galaxy | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mario / Galaxy | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Mario / Galaxy | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mario / Galaxy | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Galaxy / Mario |  Polymarket | No |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Mario / Galaxy | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Mario / Galaxy” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Mario / Galaxy” was said on MrBeast at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 21, 2026 (17%), most recently on Apr 4, 2026.
- What is the probability “Mario / Galaxy” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Mario / Galaxy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/galaxy-or-mario (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=galaxy%20%2F%20mario · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP