MrBeast (YouTube) #2, August 29, 2026
On the Aug 29, 2026 episode of MrBeast, 3 of the 13 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minecraft | Yes | 22 | 47 | ✓ | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Build | Yes | 10 | 21 | ✓ | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Fight | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Dream | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Chameleon | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hide / Find | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GTA / Grand Theft Auto | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Race | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 7%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · MrBeast Gaming (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mrbeast:2026-08-29:podcast_episode-gaming · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mrbeast:2026-08-29:podcast_episode-gaming · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP