Will “Elimination” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Elimination” was said on MrBeast at 2 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 10, 2025 (22%), most recently on Dec 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Elimination
- Probability
- 28% · n=9
- Settled
- 2/9 (22%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Elimination |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Elimination | Kalshi | No |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Elimination | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Elimination | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Elimination | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Elimination | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Elimination | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Elimination | Kalshi | No |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Elimination | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Elimination” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Elimination” was said on MrBeast at 2 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 10, 2025 (22%), most recently on Dec 6, 2025.
- What is the probability “Elimination” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Elimination’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/elimination (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=elimination · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP