MrBeast (YouTube), October 17, 2026
On the Oct 17, 2026 episode of MrBeast, 3 of the 12 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 34 | 60 | ✓ | 63%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Challenge | Yes | 15 | 25 | ✓ | 61%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | Yes | 14 | 23 | ✓ | 35%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe / Subscribes | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Huge | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 28%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Africa | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 4%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · MrBeast (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mrbeast:2026-10-17:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mrbeast:2026-10-17:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP