Will “Survivor” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Survivor” was not said on MrBeast at any of the 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Survivor
- Probability
- 13% · n=8
- Settled
- 0/8 (0%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Survivor |  Polymarket | No |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Survivor | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Survivor |  Kalshi | No |
| May 30, 2026 | Survivor | Kalshi | No |
| May 16, 2026 | Survivor | Kalshi | No |
| May 9, 2026 | Survivor | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Survivor | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Survivor | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Survivor | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Survivor” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Survivor” was not said on MrBeast at any of the 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Survivor” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 13%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Survivor’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/survivor (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=survivor · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP