Will “Subscribe / Subscribed” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Subscribe / Subscribed” was said on MrBeast at 4 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 18, 2026 (40%), most recently on May 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Subscribe / Subscribed
- Probability
- 27% · n=10
- Settled
- 4/10 (40%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 16, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 9, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Subscribe / Subscribed | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Subscribe / Subscribed” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Subscribe / Subscribed” was said on MrBeast at 4 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 18, 2026 (40%), most recently on May 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “Subscribe / Subscribed” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Subscribe / Subscribed’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/subscribe-or-subscribed (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=subscribe%20%2F%20subscribed · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP