Will “Chocolate” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Chocolate” was said on MrBeast at 3 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2025 (30%), most recently on Jun 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Chocolate
- Probability
- 32% · n=10
- Settled
- 3/10 (30%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chocolate |  Polymarket | No |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Chocolate | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Chocolate | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Chocolate | Polymarket | No |
| May 30, 2026 | Chocolate | Polymarket | Yes |
| May 17, 2026 | Chocolate | Polymarket | No |
| May 2, 2026 | Chocolate | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chocolate | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Chocolate |  Kalshi | No |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Chocolate | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Chocolate” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Chocolate” was said on MrBeast at 3 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2025 (30%), most recently on Jun 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Chocolate” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Chocolate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/chocolate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=chocolate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP