MrBeast (YouTube), October 3, 2026
On the Oct 3, 2026 episode of MrBeast, 7 of the 12 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 11 of 12 settlements. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 12- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 52 | 110 | ✓ | 61%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | Yes | 5 | 16 | ✗ | 30%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Challenge | Yes | 4 | 8 | ✓ | 58%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | Yes | 3 | 8 | ✓ | 46%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 37%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Huge | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insane | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 24%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe / Subscribes | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Africa | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 11%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 5%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · MrBeast (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mrbeast:2026-10-03:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mrbeast:2026-10-03:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP