Will Donald Trump say “Dell”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dell” at 13 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (87%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 74% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Dell
- Probability
- 74% · n=15
- Settled
- 13/15 (87%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…we have tremendous men. Elon just made a big investment. Uh Michael Dell and Susan put in think of it 6 bill250 million now. 6…
Every settled listing
newest first · 15 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dell |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dell |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dell | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dell | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dell | Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Dell | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dell | Kalshi | Yes | 18 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Dell | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Dell | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (9 of 11 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 1, 2026 | Dell | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Dell | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Dell | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Dell | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Dell | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Dell | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Dell”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dell” at 13 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (87%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Dell” next time?
- 74%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Dell’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/dell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=dell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP