Will Donald Trump say “Apple / AAPL”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Apple / AAPL” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Apple / AAPL
- Probability
- 70% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that. So, the last thing I want to do is upset an apple cart where we're getting close to settling a war. The last thing…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Apple / AAPL |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Apple / AAPL | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Apple / AAPL | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Apple / AAPL | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Apple / AAPL”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Apple / AAPL” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Apple / AAPL” next time?
- 70%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Apple / AAPL’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/aapl-or-apple (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=aapl%20%2F%20apple · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP