Will Donald Trump say “ChatGPT / OpenAI”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “ChatGPT / OpenAI” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 22, 2026 (14%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 55¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
ChatGPT / OpenAI
- Probability
- 44% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | OpenAI / ChatGPT |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 30, 2026 | ChatGPT / OpenAI | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (30 of 42 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 11, 2026 | OpenAI / ChatGPT | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 31, 2026 | ChatGPT / OpenAI | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (25 of 36 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ChatGPT / OpenAI | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (39 of 53 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 24, 2026 | OpenAI / ChatGPT | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | ChatGPT / OpenAI | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | ChatGPT / OpenAI | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “ChatGPT / OpenAI”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “ChatGPT / OpenAI” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 22, 2026 (14%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “ChatGPT / OpenAI” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘ChatGPT / OpenAI’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/chatgpt-or-openai (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=chatgpt%20%2F%20openai · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP