Will Donald Trump say “Meta”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Meta” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 15, 2025 (71%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Meta
- Probability
- 62% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…tell you. Border Patrol and ICE and all law enforcement. Boy, I met a lot of your law enforcement backstage, your sheriffs, your people. They're…
…this coordinated response is working. There are private companies helping as well. Meta has been an incredible partner to law enforcement, as has X and…
…have to go through, Tim? I don't think so. Abraham Lincoln, I met a young man from Israel. I said, "Who's your favorite president?" He…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Meta |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Meta |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (30 of 42 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Meta | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (30 of 42 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Meta | Kalshi | No | 1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Meta | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Meta | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Meta | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Meta”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Meta” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 15, 2025 (71%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Meta” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Meta’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/meta (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=meta · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP