# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-08-31 (settled) · 29 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:59:13Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-08-31 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-08-19..2026-08-28 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Sep 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# coverage 25 of 36 known appearances transcribed (as of 2026-10-22T14:43:13Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# text pending: 2 appearances since 2026-08-30 without a transcript yet (tn/th leave them out); newest donald-trump:2026-08-31:remarks: White House video captions, then the official transcript (American Presidency Project) (late)
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Dell	dell	9	7	0.78	YYYYnYnYY	8	1	0.65	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Fox News	fox new	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.64	hist	32	38	yes	1	
Google / GOOG / GOOGL	goog|googl|google	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.64	hist	6	7	yes	1	
TSMC / TSM	tsm|tsmc	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.64	hist	0	0	no		1
Meta	meta	3	2	0.67	nYY	8	0	0.64	hist	1	1	no	0	
Amazon / AMZN	amazon|amzn	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	3	3	yes	1	
Apple / AAPL	aapl|apple	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	4	5	yes	1	
Intel / INTC	intc|intel	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	10	10	yes	1	
Micron / MU	micron|mu	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	3	3	yes	1	
New York Times / NYT	new york time|nyt	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	5	16	yes	1	
Nvidia / NVDA	nvda|nvidia	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	1	1	yes	1	
SpaceX / SPCX	spacex|spcx	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	0	0	no		1
General Motors / GM	general motor|gm	3	1	0.33	nYn	8	0	0.63	hist	2	4	yes	1	
CNN	cnn	6	2	0.33	nnYnnY	8	0	0.62	hist	6	12	yes	1	
Deere	deere	0	0			8	0	0.6	hist	0	0	no		1
TikTok	tiktok	63	16	0.25	nYYYYYnnnn	8	0	0.57	hist	0	0	no		1
Airbnb / ABNB	abnb|airbnb	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.57	hist	0	0	no		1
Microsoft / MSFT	microsoft|msft	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.56	hist	0	0	yes		1
Boeing	boeing	12	5	0.42	nnnYnnYYYn	8	0	0.54	hist	0	1	yes		1
Tesla / TSLA	tesla|tsla	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.54	hist	0	0	no		1
Toyota	toyota	7	2	0.29	nYnnnnY	8	2	0.53	hist	4	4	yes	1	
DoorDash / DASH	dash|doordash	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.53	hist	0	0	no		1
Rigetti / RGTI	rgti|rigetti	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.52	hist	0	0	no		1
Anthropic / Claude	anthropic|claude	5	0	0	nnnnn	8	0	0.45	hist	0	1	no		1
ChatGPT / OpenAI	chatgpt|openai	3	0	0	nnn	8	0	0.44	hist	0	1	no		1
ExxonMobil / XOM	exxonmobil|xom	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.56	prior	1	1	yes	1	
Pfizer / PFE	pfe|pfizer	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.56	prior	1	1	yes	1	
BlackRock	blackrock	0	0			8	0	0.56	prior	0	0	no		1
Verizon	verizon	0	0			8	0	0.56	prior	0	0	no		1