Will Donald Trump say “New York Times / NYT”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “New York Times / NYT” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
New York Times / NYT
- Probability
- 71% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…There'll be a story tomorrow. The front page of the failing New York Times. says, "Donald Trump wants to change the name of the Atlantic…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | New York Times / NYT |  Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | New York Times / NYT | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | New York Times / NYT | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | New York Times / NYT | Kalshi | Yes | 11 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “New York Times / NYT”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “New York Times / NYT” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “New York Times / NYT” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘New York Times / NYT’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/new-york-time-or-nyt (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=new%20york%20time%20%2F%20nyt · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP