Will Donald Trump say “Fox News”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Fox News” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

71%from settlement history only · n=4Next: Monthly window, Oct 31, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Fox News

Probability
71% · n=4
Settled
4/4 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

The PressreporterDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:34:12In transcript

In the new Fox News power rankings, it shows that less than a quarter of rural voters are happy with the state of the economy.…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 31, 2026Fox NewsKalshiYes14
Sep 30, 2026Fox NewsKalshiYes11
Aug 31, 2026Fox NewsKalshiYes32
Jul 31, 2026Fox NewsKalshiYes9

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Fox News”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Fox News” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Fox News” next time?
71%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Fox News’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fox-new (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fox%20new · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP