Will Donald Trump say “Boeing”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Boeing” at 10 of 21 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 16, 2025 (48%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=21, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 1 time; no monthly windows among them yet.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Boeing
- Probability
- 55% · n=21
- Settled
- 10/21 (48%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…They got to respect you. Do you remember he loaded up a Boeing 757 with $1.7 billion dollar in cash? You know, did you ever…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 22 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | 1 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | 2 | |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Boeing | No | 0 | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | – | |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Boeing | No | 0 | |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | 4 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Boeing | No | – | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Boeing | No | – | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Boeing | No | – | |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | 0 | |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boeing | No | – | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | 4 | |
| May 24, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | 0 | |
| May 17, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | 0 | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Boeing | No | 0 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Boeing | Yes | 0 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Boeing | No | 0 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Boeing | No | – | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Boeing | No | – | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Boeing | No | – | |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Boeing | No | 0 | |
| May 16, 2025 | Boeing | Yes | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Boeing”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Boeing” at 10 of 21 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 16, 2025 (48%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Boeing” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=21). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Boeing’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/boeing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=boeing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP