Will Donald Trump say “Amazon / AMZN”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Amazon / AMZN” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 99¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Amazon / AMZN
- Probability
- 71% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Amazon / AMZN |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Amazon / AMZN | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Amazon / AMZN | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Amazon / AMZN”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Amazon / AMZN” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Amazon / AMZN” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Amazon / AMZN’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/amazon-or-amzn (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=amazon%20%2F%20amzn · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP