Will Donald Trump say “Microsoft / MSFT”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Microsoft / MSFT” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Microsoft / MSFT
- Probability
- 61% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of your relationships with these private sector companies in America, Meta, Google, Microsoft, IBM and so forth, they have immediately come to the table and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Microsoft / MSFT |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Microsoft / MSFT | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Microsoft / MSFT | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (25 of 36 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Microsoft / MSFT | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (39 of 53 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Microsoft / MSFT”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Microsoft / MSFT” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Microsoft / MSFT” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Microsoft / MSFT’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/microsoft-or-msft (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=microsoft%20%2F%20msft · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP