Will Donald Trump say “Toyota”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Toyota” at 6 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025 (55%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Toyota
- Probability
- 65% · n=11
- Settled
- 6/11 (55%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that's building plants and factories all over our country. We're just -- Toyota just announced they're coming in with a massive car plant. You know,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Toyota |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Toyota |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Toyota | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Toyota | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Toyota | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Toyota | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Toyota | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Toyota | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Toyota | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Toyota | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Toyota | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Toyota”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Toyota” at 6 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025 (55%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Toyota” next time?
- 65%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Toyota’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/toyota (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=toyota · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP