Will Donald Trump say “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” at 15 of 20 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=20, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement
- Probability
- 77% · n=20
- Settled
- 15/20 (75%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…little bit of a rally and I did a lot of an endorsement and we got him down to below 50%. So, now there was…
…like I do. And Byron was one of the first people to endorse me in 2025. I'm telling you, when I announced, he was like…
…last night, a senator from South Carolina. He's beloved. He's great. He endorsed me. I sent him everywhere. He was so good. And we talked…
…solid. She's great. So Annie Andrews is also an anti-gun extremist who endorsed a ban on the most popular firearms in America. She wants a…
…different place and it's thriving, it's thriving. And as you know, I endorsed many of those people. Every single one that I endorsed won, including…
Every settled listing
newest first · 22 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” at 15 of 20 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” next time?
- 77%, from settlement history (n=20). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/endorse-or-endorsed-or-endorsement (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=endorse%20%2F%20endorsed%20%2F%20endorsement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP