Will Donald Trump say “Million/Billion/Trillion” 10+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million/Billion/Trillion” 10+ times at 18 of 35 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2025 (51%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=35, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
54%from settlement history only · n=35counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no yes no no yes
GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20trillion%20%2810%2B%20times%29
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Million/Billion/Trillion 10+ times
Probability
54% · n=35
Settled
18/35 (51%)
Last 4 keynotes
said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Michigan · Oct 25, 2026 · 42:24In transcript
…prime minister of Pakistan said, "President Trump has saved at least 30 million lives." So I said, "First lady, first lady, it'll be a great…
Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 10:12In transcript
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history, and allowed 25 million people to invade your country by pouring across our borders from all…
Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 3:04In transcript
…most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group…
Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 15:13In transcript
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It…
Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 2:21In transcript
…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…
What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed
How often does Donald Trump say “Million/Billion/Trillion 10+ times”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million/Billion/Trillion” 10+ times at 18 of 35 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2025 (51%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Million/Billion/Trillion 10+ times” next time?
54%, from settlement history (n=35). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Citeparrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Million/Billion/Trillion 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-million-or-trillion-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Polymarket