Donald Trump: Interview, Feb 10, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during Fox News interview on Tuesday?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Market / Dow | Yes | 52%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Biden 3+ times | Yes | 51%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Egg / Gasoline / Gas | Yes | 48%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Percent 4+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | Yes | 41%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Kevin / Warsh | Yes | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Goy / Goyim | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Putin | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hell | No | 37%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny / Super Bowl | No | 30%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 15%n=265 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-fox-news-interview-on-tuesday · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP