Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 11, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during the Champion of Coal event?
Markets
20 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green New Scam | Yes | 52%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 51%n=142 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 42%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| Pennsylvania / West Virginia | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Energy 5+ times | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Coal 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coal 25+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Beautiful Coal / Clean Coal | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Thank you 10+ times | Yes | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Pentagon / Department of War | Yes | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | 52%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | No | 50%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | No | 49%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 46%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Hoax | No | 42%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Fired | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| El Paso | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gavin Newscum / Gavin Newsom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rare Earth | No | 30%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=267 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-the-champion-of-coal-event · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP