Congressional hearings, Jan 23, 2026
Kalshi What will the witnesses say during the housing affordability hearing?
Markets
16 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ADU / Accessory Dwelling Unit | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Unaffordable | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| American Dream | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investor / Developer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Permit / Permitting | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rent Control | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zoning | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 401K | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fannie / Freddie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FHA / First Time Homeowner | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Institution / Institutional | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Landlord | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lumber | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCONGRESSMENTION-26JAN23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP