Congressional hearings, Jul 1, 2026
Kalshi What will the witnesses say during the Public Access to Legislative Data hearing?
Markets
11 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: any witness Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 75%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Security / Cybersecurity | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Privacy | No | 61%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan | No | 61%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Automated / Automation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Classified | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Congress / Congressional | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transparency | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| XML | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 46%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Social Media | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL01B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP