MrBeast: Episode, May 30, 2026
Kalshi What will MrBeast say during his next Youtube video?
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
Markets
36 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subscribe / Subscribed | Yes | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | Yes | 44%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| MrBeast | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Chocolate | Yes | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Island | Yes | 20%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Million | No | 75%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | No | 57%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 45%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Twitch | No | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Beast | No | 40%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable | No | 39%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | No | 36%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | No | 35%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Briefcase / Suitcase | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cash | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eliminate / Eliminated | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 20+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lamborghini | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lawsuit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Red Line | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Strategy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored | No | 32%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Subscriber | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 29%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Apple | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Impressive | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Karl | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mystery Box | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Technology | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| This Year | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Jet | No | 24%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | No | 22%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pokemon | No | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Survivor | No | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMRBEASTMENTION-26MAY30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP