MrBeast: Episode, Jan 24, 2026
Kalshi What will MrBeast say during his next Youtube Video?
Markets
15 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Time | Yes | 88%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Million | Yes | 80%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Win | Yes | 76%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Challenge | Yes | 70%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Beast | Yes | 52%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Car | Yes | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | Yes | 45%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | Yes | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable | Yes | 38%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Water | Yes | 38%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | Yes | 26%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Money | No | 65%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe | No | 53%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 45%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi Arabia | No | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMRBEASTMENTION-26FEB14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP