MrBeast: Episode, Jan 7, 2026
Kalshi What will MrBeast say during the Next MrBeast Youtube Video?
Markets
15 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Time | Yes | 86%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Million | Yes | 78%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Win | Yes | 74%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Challenge | Yes | 67%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Money | Yes | 62%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Beast | Yes | 48%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | Yes | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Car | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billion | Yes | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe | No | 57%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 48%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable | No | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Water | No | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi Arabia | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | No | 28%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMRBEASTMENTION-26JAN31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP