MrBeast: Episode, Jun 27, 2026
Kalshi What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
Markets
28 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Million | Yes | 73%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | Yes | 56%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 5+ times | Yes | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | Yes | 42%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Eliminate / Eliminated | Yes | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Beast | Yes | 37%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | Yes | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Red Line | Yes | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe / Subscribed | No | 64%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 44%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable | No | 39%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | No | 37%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Lamborghini | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Subscriber | No | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Twitch | No | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple | No | 25%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored | No | 25%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 24%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Sport | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| America | No | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Calendar | No | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Technology | No | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Pokemon | No | 16%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Survivor | No | 16%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMRBEASTMENTION-26JUN27C · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP