MrBeast: Episode, May 9, 2026
Kalshi What will MrBeast say during his next Youtube video?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Million | Yes | 83%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | Yes | 53%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable | Yes | 42%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe / Subscribed | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billion | Yes | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Twitch | No | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Beast | No | 44%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored | No | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Pokemon | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Survivor | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMRBEASTMENTION-26MAY09C · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP