MrBeast: Episode, Sep 27, 2025
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during next video?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Million | Yes | 64%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe | Yes | 49%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God / Gosh 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insane | Yes | 29%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Survive | No | 41%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Challenge 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Day 12+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Feastables 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Later in this video | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Secret | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Explore | No | 29%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-next-video-896 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP