MrBeast (YouTube), October 3, 2026
On the Oct 3, 2026 episode of MrBeast, 7 of the 12 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 11 of 12 settlements. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 12- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 52 | 110 | ✓ | 61%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | Yes | 5 | 16 | ✗ | 30%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Challenge | Yes | 4 | 8 | ✓ | 58%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | Yes | 3 | 8 | ✓ | 46%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 37%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Huge | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insane | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 24%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe / Subscribes | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Africa | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 11%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 5%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · MrBeast (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
8 matches for “Contestant”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…it right away. And it's in that same spirit that I wanted to do something different, not only for our contestants, but for all of
But for one contestant, he might've pushed too hard. Even with his newfound injury, Juan was determined to not let his ankle weigh him or…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mrbeast:2026-10-03:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mrbeast:2026-10-03:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP